Duration: 5 day course (includes 1 day practical expedition)
Course Objectives:
The course will enable participants to apply a structured approach to project
justification, investment appraisal and decision making in the upstream petroleum business
Course Overview
- Basic concepts
Identifying project cash flows and sources of information
- How to calculate the Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Project payback. Net present value (NPV). Internal rate of return (IRR) and the cost of Capital. Profitability index (PI). Strengths & limitations of each
method
- Project ranking - how to choose the best alternative
How to optimise expenditure
- How to deal with inflation
Taking account of taxation
- Accounting measures vs. Economic measures
Understanding other financial criteria for decision making. Balancing short term vs.
long term business objectives
- Economics, risk and decisions - decision to points are risk points
Decision points for oil fields and gas fields. Risk & probability definitions and concepts.
Risk identification, measurement & management. Forecasting as risk management.
Assumptions, sensitivities & risk premia
- Exploration and appraisal decisions, uncertainty, risk and exposure Monte Carlo
Simulation
Economic models and spreadsheet design
Development decisions
Work scope definition and options. Decommissioning economics & risks. Cost
estimating and Contingencies. Financing options. Construction
contracts
- Further development decisions and economic cut off
- Preparing convincing project proposals
- Post project appraisal